After the end of last month, which was a pure disaster for me in predictions, we go again in June in hope of better results.
Today's game is a great match, offering extreme value in having a lot of goals scored, based on both team's recent stats and playstyles.
Cologne are 11th in the table with 34 points, 7 above relegation spots but also 8 behind the desired EuropeLeague 6th place(Wolfsburg) and a match less, giving them a slim, but still real chance of reaching it.
Cologne have had a good season, possibly better than what people predicted. They should be secure from relegation spots, as they have been delivering surprising results. They have 3 WIns, 2 Draws and 2 Losses from last 7 matches, including 5-0 and 3-0 wins over hertha and Shalke, and 4-0 to Freiburg way before that. This is only a proof of the high ammount of goals they are scoring(44 scored, 24 at home), result of their attacking and open playstyle. In their last 7 matches they have scored 16 times( conceded 10)
Despite all that, their form has dipped recently. Last 4 encounters were 2 Draws and 2 Losses, including 2 2-2 draws to Dortuna and Mainz. Cologne have kept scoring at high pace, as they have scored in 14 games in a row, but their defense is what has been lwetting them down - with 52 goals conceded they simply cant control their games.
This all proves to a high-scoring encounter, as they meet top 6 Leipzig
Leipzig are currently 5th, only 1 points behind 4th and 4rd, and despite the good season they have had, they still need to keep winning if they want that Top 4 placement and Clampions league spot. Leipzig have been one of the best attacking teams, with 70 goals scored( 29 conceded), half of those 70 were scored in away games.
传奇sfLeipzig are without a loss in their last 10 competitive games, including 2 Champions league encounters, but they have ended too many times in a Draw - 5 Draws 5 Wins, and 5 Draws from 8 in the Bundesliga, which destroyed all advantage they had over Leverkuzen and Gladbah.
After the pause Leipzig failed at 1-1 away draw to Freiburg, recovered nicely against the leaky defence of Mainz with 5-0 triumph but in last game suffered another goal-scoring draw(2-2) to low-placed Hertha.
Last 5 H2H have ended with 3 Wins, 1 Draw and 1 Loss for Leipzig. In all 5 encounters Both teams have scored, 4 times out of 5 we have seen Over 2,5 goals and 2 times - Over 3.5 goals.
Leipzig are considerably better team with simply immense attack. Both teams will play forward, trying to use more speed and will, respectivly, leave more spaces for the opposition. As we saw against Mainz, this works in Leizpig's favor and i expect them to easily put a few goals in the bag. Despite their flaws, Leipzig are still a solid team and should have enough to secure a win here.
传奇sfI expect Cologne to keep the current streak of them scoring atleast once in 14 games in a row ( and 5 times against Leipzig) and also punish the shaky defence of their guests. With this i can easily see Over 3.5 goals in a game where Leipzig run out as 3-1/4-1/3-2 winner.
The long pause has destroyed the team's rhytm and high-scoring games are worth to be backed up.
Cologne vs RB Leipzig betting tips
Leipzig to win and Over 3.5 goals (Stake: 7)Odds: 2.87 at Bet365
Result: 2-4 WON传奇sf (+13.09 units)